The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) has recently disseminated the data on banks' foreign exchange settlement and sales and banks' foreign-related receipts and payments for customers for May 2019. SAFE Press Spokesperson and Chief Economist Wang Chunying answers media questions on foreign exchange receipts and payments for May 2019.
Q: What changes occurred in China’s foreign exchange receipts and payments in May 2019?
A: In May, China's foreign exchange receipts and payments remained stable with good momentum, and the operation of the foreign exchange market remained stable. Based on relevant data, firstly, banks’ settlement and sales of foreign exchange registered a surplus. In May, banks’ foreign exchange settlement rose 4% from April, while banks’ foreign exchange sales fell 7%, recording a surplus of USD 6.2 billion. Secondly, the deficit of banks’ foreign-related receipts and payments for customers narrowed. In May, enterprises, individuals and other non-banking sectors recorded a deficit of USD 6 billion in foreign-related receipts and payments, narrowing by 23% month on month. Thirdly, the balance of foreign exchange reserves rebounded to certain extent, reaching USD 3,101 billion at the end of May, an increase of USD 6.1 billion month on month.
Market expectations have been stable as a whole since May, with positive changes in cross-border capital flows through major channels. In May, market players’ willingness to settle foreign exchange rose and their willingness to buy foreign exchange remained stable. In particular, the foreign exchange settlement rate that measures the willingness to settle foreign exchange, or the foreign exchange sold by customers to banks as a percentage of their foreign-related foreign exchange income, was 70%, up by 4 percentage points month on month. The foreign exchange sales rate that measures the willingness to buy foreign exchange, or the ratio of foreign exchange purchased by customers from banks to the customer's foreign-related foreign exchange payments was 68%, basically the same month on month. The contracted surplus of forward settlement and sales of foreign exchange was USD 19.2 billion, up by33% month on month. In this context, cross-border capital flows through major channels remained stable and showed positive changes. First, banks maintained a certain scale of surplus in the settlement and sales of foreign exchange and foreign-related receipts and payments of trade in goods on behalf of clients, registering an increase from April. Second, the foreign exchange settlement of capital in foreign direct investment registered an increase, the foreign exchange purchases with capital in ODI were stale with a slight decline, and the surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales of direct investment increased. Third, the purchase of foreign exchange with investment income by enterprises was normal and orderly, which registered a month-on-month increase due to seasonal factors but was lower than that of the same period last year. Fourth, net foreign exchange purchases by individuals continued to decrease in May, down by 28% year on year and 19% month on month respectively.
Despite the complex and volatile external environment, China's economy has been running smoothly on the whole, showing strong resilience and great potential. The ongoing progress in reform and opening-up, ample macro policy space and high market confidence has provided strong fundamental support for the stability of the foreign exchange market. Meanwhile, in recent years, the RMB exchange rate formation mechanism has been constantly refined. As the bidirectional floating of foreign exchange rate has become more flexible, the risk management awareness and adaptability of market players have witnessed obvious improvement. The changes of foreign exchange receipts and payments data in May adequately reflect the increasing maturity and rationality of China’s foreign exchange market, which is expected to better stand all kinds of tests in the future.
