-
The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) recently promulgated the Circular of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on the Administration of External Guarantees Provided by Domestic Institutions (hereinafter referred to as the "Circular"). An interview was conducted with a relevant official of the SAFE regarding issues related to the Circular. Q: What is the background to this promulgation? A: According to the relevant stipulations on the administration of external guarantees currently in effect, with the exception of financing external guarantees provided by domestic banks for overseas investment enterprises were subject to annual balance management, the other types of external guarantees were mainly subject to case-by-case approvals. With Chinas increasing integration into the global economy, external investments of domestic institutions have been on a constant rise. Overseas investment enterprises are increasingly demanding credit support from domestic institutions, resulting in an urgent demand to improve and reform current policies for the administration of external guarantees. The policies currently in effect have some limitations: (i) the balance management is only applicable to certain types of institutions and is not applicable to non-bank financial institutions and enterprises; the balance management for external guarantees provided by banks is only applicable to financing guarantees in which the debtor is an overseas institutions; (ii) currently banks assign quotas for the balance of the external guarantees mainly based on the foreign exchange capital funds and the working capital of the debtor, which has led to decreasing rationality in the quota assignment; (iii) the policies currently in effect have higher qualifying standards for the guarantor and the debtor, that is, higher standards are imposed on the net asset proportions of both the guarantor and the debtor, the profits and losses of the debtor, and so on, which to some extent has hindered the development of the business of external guarantees. This situation necessitates early amendment to the policies concerning administration of external guarantees provided by domestic institutions. Q: What are the major aims and principles behind the adjustments to the administration of external guarantees by domestic institutions? A: Within the present fundamental policy framework for external guarantees, the reform aims to substantially streamline and straighten out the existing administration policies, and to clarify the technical and operational issues that need to be further clarified in the practice of the administration of guarantees, thereby further promoting the facilitation of trade and further pushing forward the reform of the mode of foreign exchange administration for external guarantees. The policy adjustment mainly complies with the principle of streamlining formalities, ensuring high efficiency of business operations, and keeping risks controllable. By streamlining the formalities for administrative approval and increasing the efficiency of administration, the SAFE will be able to provide greater support to the going-globalactivities of domestic institutions. Meanwhile, the SAFE must prevent possible negative impacts from the conversion of contingent external debts into actual debts or claims. Overall, the reform simultaneously will serve to promote development and to keep risks controllable. Q: What changes has the adjustment entailed in the mode of administration of external guarantees provided by domestic banks? A: The changes can be summed up in seven respects: (i) the scope for implementing balance management for financing external guarantees was expanded. The adjustment allows financing guarantees to be provided to institutions both at home and abroad instead of only to overseas institutions. That is to say, the banks provision of financing external guarantees to domestic institutions is no longer subject to deal-by-deal application and approval; (ii) adjustments have been made to the criterion for assignment of the balance quotas to the banks. The assignment of quotas is no longer subject to foreign exchange capital funds or working capital. Rather, the foreign exchange authorities are allowed to assign quotas to banks based on the paid-in capital in both RMB and foreign currency, or the foreign exchange net assets of the bank. In other words, the quota for a single bank shall not exceed 50% of its paid-in capital or working capital in both RMB and foreign currency, nor exceed the net asset value of its foreign exchange; (iii) the conditions for the debtorsqualifications for bank provision of financing external guarantees have been lifted, that is, the debtor shall not be subject to such conditions as its equity relationship with domestic institutions, net asset proportions, and profits and losses; (iv) the mode for the administration of the banksprovision of non-financing external guarantees has been clarified. The debtor shall not be subject to net asset proportions, profits and losses, and ex-ante approval to obtain non-financing L/G from banks; meanwhile, to ensure adequate caution, it is required that at least one of either the debtor and beneficiary shall be a domestic institution, or shall be an overseas institution in which a domestic institution directly or indirectly holds shares; (v) it is clarified that the ex-ante approval formalities shall be lifted for the banksprovision of external guarantees; (vi) it has been clarified that the registration of the external guarantees under the banksquota management shall be subject to regular filing; (vii) the relevant statements for the regular filing of the banksprovision of external guarantees have been re-designed to facilitate the filing and submission of the data. Q: What changes have been made in the mode of administration of external guarantees provided by domestic non-bank financial institutions and enterprises after the policy adjustment? A: The changes can be summed up in five respects: (i) an administration mode based on deal-by-deal approval supplemented by administration of the balance has been formed. Domestic non-bank financial institutions and enterprises (including wholly foreign-funded enterprises) with large numbers of external guarantee deals and high standardization of internal management that provide financing and non-financing external guarantees can apply to the SAFE for assignment of balance quotas and can provide external guarantees within the assigned quotas, without having to apply to the SAFE for deal-by-deal approval. However, the balance quota assigned by the SAFE and/or the balance of deal-by-deal external guarantees approved by the SAFE shall not exceed 50% of the net assets of the enterprise; (ii) the proportion of net assets owned by the corporate guarantor is uniformly adjusted to 15%, to replace the previously implemented separate rates for trade enterprises and non-trade enterprises; (iii) the scope of the debtor has been expanded. If the guarantor is an enterprise, the debtor shall be an institution formed within or outside China in which the guarantor directly or indirectly holds shares, replacing the pre-adjustment provision that the debtor shall be a first-layer subsidiary of domestic enterprises that are formed within or outside China. If the guarantor is a non-bank financial institution, the debtor shall be an institution within China, or an institution formed by a domestic institution or an institution in which a domestic institution directly or indirectly holds shares according to the relevant provisions; (iv) it has been clarified that in the event that non-bank financial institutions and enterprises perform external guarantees, they must file an application with the foreign exchange administration authority in their locality for deal-by-deal approval, and the purchase of foreign exchange is allowed when they provide the external guarantees; (v) it has been clarified that wholly foreign-funded enterprises shall handle the case-by-case approval, registration, and other formalities for their external guarantees with reference to the principles for the administration of general enterprises. Q: What adjustments have been made to the qualifications of the debtor? A: The policy adjustment has lowered the standards for the debtorsqualifications. The major adjustments can be summed up in three respects: (i) the scope of the debtor has been expanded to various degrees based on the institutional type of the guarantor. For a financing external guarantee provided by a bank, the debtor is not subject to any qualifications, and the bank has discretion over the provision of external guarantees based on its business development needs and its ability to keep internal risks under control. For a non-financing external guarantee provided by a bank, only one of the debtor or the beneficiary shall be a domestic institution or an overseas institution in which a domestic institution directly or indirectly holds shares. In an external guarantee provided by non-bank financial institutions, the debtor has been adjusted to be domestic institutions, or overseas investment enterprises owned by domestic institutions. In an external guarantee provided by an enterprise, the scope of the debtor is expanded to encompass enterprises that were established within or outside China in which the guarantor directly or indirectly holds shares; (ii) the financial index restrictions on the debtor have been unified and simplified: the requirement on the net asset proportion of the debtor is uniformly adjusted to the net asset value of the debtor shall be positive, and the profit requirement has been adjusted to the debtor shall have made profits in at least one of the past three years, replacing the previous the debtor shall not have any losses (for long-term projects such as resources exploration projects, the aforementioned three years can be extended to five years); (iii) the requirement that If the debtor is a joint venture within or outside China, the guarantees shall only be provided according to the proportions of the capital contributions of both partieshas been lifted. Q: What is the significance of the policy adjustment? A: The reform of the mode of administration of external guarantees is a critical step in further refining foreign exchange administration to achieve the goal of administration with the provision of better services. It will provide greater momentum for domestic institutions to implement the national strategy of going global on a wider scale and at a higher level, with greater involvement in international competition and collaboration. It will help domestic institutions take advantage of markets and resources both at home and aboard, promote the facilitation of trade and investment, and increase the efficiency of resource utilization. By stimulating financial innovation and business expansion in the financial industry and keeping potential risks under control, the adjustment will also play a positive role in sharpening the international competitive edge of Chinas financial industry. Q: How does the SAFE intend to control risks during the post-adjustment period? A: During implementation of the policy adjustment, we have taken into full consideration the practices in the administration of external guarantees provided by domestic institutions and have carried out classified administration of external guarantees based on the different risk-bearing and management capabilities of the institutions. This has enhanced risk control from an institutional perspective. The ex-post examination mechanism was strengthened. Thus, we have kept relevant risks controllable. Specifically: first, administration practices during recent years show that the performance of external guarantees provided by domestic institutions has remained at a low level; and the credit risks of the various categories of entities under external guarantees have been kept under effective control; second, given the varied risk management capabilities of banks, non-bank financial institutions, and non-financial enterprises owing to their different stages of development, we have established a mode for implementing classified administration; and while lowering the standards for the qualifications of the relevant entities, we have enhanced risk control by improving system design; third, we have conducted pressure tests for the policy adjustment. The results of the computations show that overall the risks are controllable. We will constantly improve the approaches for statistical monitoring of the external guarantees and the mechanisms for ex-post examination and will strengthen statistical monitoring, analysis, and early warning for external guarantees, so as to keep potential risks under control. 2010-07-30/en/2010/0730/945.html
-
Q: Recently there have been comments by scholars that since 2003 China has suffered a huge loss of USD271.1 billion in its foreign exchange reserves, due to the appreciation of the RMB against the US dollar. What is your comment on this? A: First, the appreciation of the RMB will not bring about losses in Chinas foreign exchange reserves. Foreign exchange reserves essentially are assets in foreign exchange, which use the USD as the recording currency. Variations in the RMB/USD exchange rate will result in changes in the book value of RMB converted from the foreign exchange reserves, which are not the actually realized gains or losses. The variation only means some differences in the book value of the reporting currency, be it RMB or USD, and does not have a direct impact on the effective purchasing power of the foreign exchange reserves. The changes in the exchange of currency will only occur when foreign exchange reserves are repatriated from overseas countries (regions) and converted into RMB. Presently, China has no need to repatriate and settle its foreign exchange reserves on a large scale. In addition, equivalent incomes in RMB were attained by banks, enterprises, and individuals when foreign currencies were sold; the appreciated RMB generated considerable benefits in lowering the costs of imports, increasing incomes from investment, and so forth. That is to say, the benefits have been retained within the country. Second, the book loss of foreign exchange reserves caused by the RMB appreciation is far less than the book surplus of Chinas financial assets. The book loss and surplus generated from the reporting currency are like two sides of a coin (in economics called duality). In contrast to book losses of RMB converted from foreign exchange reserves which are denominated in USD, if converted to USD China enjoys a book surplus of RMB financial assets held by citizens. As of the end of March 2011, Chinas balance of foreign exchange reserves reached USD3.04 trillion. Converted at the end-March 2011 exchange rate, the total scale of RMB financial assets, such as RMB deposits of enterprises and individuals, stocks, treasury bonds, and insurance assets during the corresponding period was more than five times that of Chinas foreign exchange reserve assets. This means that when the RMB appreciates, the book gains of RMB assets is over 5 times the book losses of the foreign exchange reserve assets. Furthermore, the book gains of RMB assets will become more substantial when property assets and other kinds of financial assets held by residents in forms of stocks, bonds, and so on are taken into account. Likewise, in essence the above losses or gains are variations in book values. That means the variations will not be realized as gains or losses if the currency is not exchanges. Third, the effective purchasing power of foreign exchange reserves depends on the yield of foreign exchange reserves and the inflation rate of the countries where the investments are made. China has maintained stable gains from its foreign exchange reserves operations over the years; the yields of operations far exceed the inflation rate of the countries (regions) where investments have been made, such as the U.S., Europe, or Japan, thereby ensuring the effective purchasing power of the foreign exchange reserves. During the 2000-2010 period, the consumer price index (CPI) in the U.S., Europe, and Japan increased at an annual rate of 2.4 percent, 2.1 percent, and -0.2 percent respectively. In the meantime, China has seen a far higher average annual operating yield from its foreign exchange reserves. 2011-05-06/en/2011/0506/995.html
-
In order to facilitate individualshandling of foreign exchange settlement and sales and to promote banks business innovation, at the beginning of 2010 the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (hereinafter referred to as the SAFE) gave a green light successively to the Bank of China, China Merchants Bank, and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China for pilot operations of foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals through e-bank channels. Domestic individuals are allowed to handle foreign exchange settlement and sales on a self-service basis through the e-channels provided by the pilot banks. In view of the fact that the pilot operation has received widespread praise from the public, the SAFE recently promulgated the Interim Measures for the Administration of E-bank-based Foreign Exchange Settlement and Sales for Individuals (hereinafter referred to as the Interim Measures), which will come into force as of April 1, 2011. The Interim Measures mainly comprise four areas: (1) After being accepted by the SAFE, banks are allowed to connect their e-banking systems to the information system for the administration of foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals, to handle e-banking-based foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals, and to implement the national uniform regulations on the annual aggregate administration of foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals; (2) Individuals both at home and abroad are allowed to use their own accounts to handle the purchase and settlement of foreign exchange within the annual aggregate and under the current account (exclusive of trade) via multiple e-banking channels such as online banking, self-service terminals, phone banking, and mobile banking; (3) Banks and individuals shall comply with the foreign exchange administration regulations for the handling of e-banking-based foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals, and shall ensure that the data entered into the information system for the administration of foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals are authentic, complete, and accurate; (4) The SAFE and the banks will keep a close eye on the e-banking-based foreign exchange settlement and sales for individuals, screen and identify illegal transactions and transactions in violation of the regulations, and place those individuals becoming involved in activities in violation of the regulations, such as splitting large sums of money into smaller parts, on a watch-list for intensified administration. The individuals on the watch-list shall be prohibited from foreign exchange purchases and settlement via e-banking for a certain period of time. By keeping up with the trend of e-banking development, the promulgation of the Interim Measures will further facilitate individuals handling of foreign exchange settlement and sales, lessen the burden on bank counters, and reduce the operational costs for banks. Placing individuals involved in activities in violation of the regulations on the watch-list and intensifying administration of those on the watch-list will be conducive to checking individualssettlement and sales of foreign exchange by splitting large sums of money into smaller parts and to preventing inflows and outflows of abnormal foreign exchange funds through e-banking channels. 2011-03-15/en/2011/0315/987.html
-
The SAFE recently released the revised data on China's Balance of Payments Statement for the year 2010, as well as the revised data for each quarter of 2010 according to the latest situation, and the annual data from 2005 to 2009. The current account and the capital and financial account continued to post a "twin surplus" in 2010, and international reserves maintained a growing momentum. The surplus under the current account totaled USD305.4 billion, a rise of 17 percent compared with that in the previous year. Specifically, according to the statistical coverage of the balance of payments, the surpluses in goods, income, and current transfers reached USD254.2 billion, USD30.4 billion, and USD42.9 billion, respectively, whereas the deficit in trade in services amounted to USD22.1 billion. Meanwhile, China's surplus under the capital and financial account totaled USD226 billion, an increase of 25 percent. In particular, net inflows of direct investments, portfolio investments, and other investments amounted to USD124.9 billion, USD24 billion, and USD72.4 billion respectively. International reserves assets posted an increase of USD471.7 billion, a rise of 18 percent. Specifically, transactions in foreign exchange reserves assets registered an increase of USD469.6 billion (exclusive of the influence of changes in value due to non-transaction factors such as exchange rates and prices) and the reserve position in the IMF and special drawing rights registered a total increase of USD2.2 billion. In Q4 of 2010, the surplus under the current account was USD102.1 billion, a rise of 7 percent year on year; the surplus under the capital and financial account totaled USD118.9 billion, an increase of 88 percent; and international reserves assets posted an increase of USD185.7 billion, an increase of 49 percent. In addition, the BOP Analysis Team of the SAFE released the China's Balance of Payments Report for 2010 in order to facilitate understanding among all groups sin society about the data and analysis of China's balance of payments. 2011-04-01/en/2011/0401/989.html
-
On April 1, 2011, RMB-against-foreign exchange trading was officially introduced into Chinas inter-bank foreign exchange market. On the first day of trading, the system operated smoothly in parallel with brisk quotations and enquiries by banks. The quotation covered all 13 standard terms. A total of 10 RMB-against-USD options trading were concluded on the first day, with trading terms ranging from 1 to 6 months. The nominal principal amounted to a total of USD49 million. Since Chinas reform of the mechanism for setting up RMB exchange rates in July 2005, the foreign exchange market has witnessed accelerated development and increased varieties of trading products. A broad array of RMB-against-foreign exchange derivatives, such as forward exchange transactions, foreign exchange swaps, and currency swaps, were successively introduced into the market where banks provide services to their clients and the inter-bank foreign exchange market. The introduction of RMB-against-foreign exchange options trading signals the initial formation of a complete system for the trading of fundamental exchange rate derivatives on the foreign exchange market, which will provide a solid foundation for innovation-oriented development of the foreign exchange market in the future. The SAFE will continue to promote the progressive development of the foreign exchange market by taking into account circumstances in market operations and market conditions and by complying with the principle of maintaining the initiative, controllability, and progression of development. 2011-04-06/en/2011/0406/990.html
-
A meeting was recently held by the SAFE to review the investment quotas for qualified institutional investors. Total quotas of USD400 million were allocated to four qualified foreign institutional investors (QFIIs), including Aviva Investors Global Services Ltd., Bank Julius Baer & Co. Ltd., Schroder Investment Management Ltd., and PineBridge Investments LLC, and total quotas of USD1.585 billion were granted to three qualified domestic institutional investors (QDIIs), including Guosen Securities Co., Ltd., American International Assurance Company, Ltd., and Lion Fund Management Co., Ltd. As of April 29, 2011, the SAFE had approved investment quotas of USD20.690 billion to 103 QFIIs and investment quotas of USD72.646 billion to 92 QDIIs. Specifically, during the period from January to April 2011, investment quotas of USD970 million were allocated to 13 QFIIs, and quotas of USD2.985 billion were allocated to 8 QDIIs. Based on the changes and development in Chinas balance of payments, the SAFE will continue to examine and approve investment quotas for qualified institutional investors in a prudent and orderly manner. 2011-04-29/en/2011/0429/993.html
-
According to the statistical data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), in February 2011 the amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD90 billion and USD65.1 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD24.9 billion. For the first two months of 2011, the cumulative amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD240.3 billion and USD147 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales was USD93.3 billion. In February 2011, foreign-related receipts and payments of domestic banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD129.9 billion and USD120.6 billion respectively; and the surplus of foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD9.3 billion. For the first two months of 2011, the cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments of banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD316.6 billion and USD271.3 billion respectively; and the surplus of the cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD45.3 billion. 2011-04-13/en/2011/0413/991.html
-
According to statistical data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), in March 2011 the amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD135.4 billion and USD94.5 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD40.9 billion. For the first three months of 2011, the cumulative amount of foreign exchange settlement and foreign exchange sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD375.7 billion and USD241.5 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales was USD134.2 billion. During March 2011 foreign-related receipts and payments by domestic banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD188.4 billion and USD157.7 billion respectively, and the surplus of foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD30.7 billion. For the first three months of 2011, the cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD505 billion and USD429 billion respectively; and the surplus of the cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD76 billion. 2011-05-03/en/2011/0503/994.html
-
Q: The international credit rating agency Standard & Poors yesterday warned that it will revise downward its outlook on the U.S. sovereign credit rating. Since China is a big holder of U.S. Treasury bonds, is there any concern about the safety of its investments? A: We have noticed that the S&P has revised its outlook on the U.S. sovereign credit rating from stable to negative. As a major target of institutional investors in the U.S and throughout the world, Treasury bonds reflect the credibility of the U.S. government. We hope that the U.S government will take responsible measures to guarantee the interests of its investors. 2011-04-20/en/2011/0420/992.html
-
Special Topic IV I. China has made active progress in terms of strengthening and improving supervision of cross-border capital flows In recent years, the foreign exchange authorities has been adhering to the risk limits and have continuously strengthened and improved supervision of cross-border capital flows. While adhering to balanced management, the foreign exchange authorities focused on guarding against hot money inflows, made it a priority to slow down the rapid increase in the surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks and foreign exchange reserves, combined thinning and blocking measures, focused on priorities, simultaneously took numerous measures, and carried out comprehensive policies in order to guard against the impact of cross-border capital flows. This mainly included the following: First, studying, formulating, and timely applying the pre-arranged policies to cope with large-scale cross-border capital inflows. In 2008, the Regulations on Foreign Exchange Administration were revised and implemented, providing legal basis for strengthening supervision of cross-border capital flows. In 2009 and 2010, the pre-arranged policies for coping with unusual outflows and inflows of cross-border capital respectively were formulated. In November 2010 and March 2011, the foreign exchange authorities applied the pre-arranged policies for coping with unusual inflows of cross-border capital, strengthened administration of the foreign exchange business of the banks’ foreign exchange settlement and sales positions, foreign exchange collections and settlement for export, and short-term external debt, and in 2011 further adjusted downward the total scale of the short-term external debt quotas of domestic financial institutions. Second, giving play to foreign exchange inspection methods to rigorously crack down on the arbitrage capital such as hot money. In recent years, the foreign exchange authorities have improved foreign exchange inspection methods and the accuracy and effectiveness of cracking down on hot money. In accordance with the idea of seizing the big and freeing the small, the special inspections on foreign exchange settlement of capital and short-term external debt carried out by the foreign exchange authorities focused on financial institutions and large enterprises. The foreign exchange authorities increased their efforts to circulate information on the irregular activities of market players and as well as information on punishments for irregular activities by some banks, enterprises, and individuals. From 2007 to 2011, the foreign exchange authorities investigated a total of 15,000 cases involved in activities in violation of the foreign exchange laws and regulations and imposed a total of RMB 1.27 billion in administrative fines. In particular, the foreign exchange authorities cooperated with the public security bodies to crack down on a total of 210 cases involving illegal banks, the illegal sale and purchase of foreign exchange, and on-line foreign exchange speculation. Involving an amount in excess of RMB 100 billion, more than 1,000 suspects were apprehended and a total of RMB 160 million in administrative fines was imposed. Third, adhering to the combining of thinning and blocking measures to guide the orderly flow of cross-border capital. While guarding against the inflow of hot money, the foreign exchange authorities continuously simplified and finally cancelled the compulsory foreign exchange settlement and sales system and encouraged foreign exchange purchases and payments with authentic demands for trade and investment. In 2010, the reform of the verification and writing-off system of foreign exchange payments for imports was carried out, making it unnecessary for most of the complying enterprises to handle on-site verification and writing-off procedures for their normal business of foreign exchange payments for imports, significantly reducing the operating costs for the banks and enterprises; a pilot program for overseas deposits of export revenue was launched to encourage enterprises to deposit export revenue overseas and to meet the normal demands of market players to hold and utilize foreign exchange. In 2011, the policy on overseas deposits of export revenue was generalized nationwide, and a pilot reform of the verification and writing-off system for imports and exports was launched. The foreign exchange authorities supported the “Going Out” strategy, lifted limits on the amount of foreign exchange purchased for overseas investments, and allowed outward remittances for early stage expenses for overseas investments. Fourth, improving the capability to analyze and supervise cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency. The foreign exchange authorities strengthened statistics, monitoring, and early warning on the balance of payments, carried out statistics and monitoring of cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency, established a comprehensive statistical system for the banks’ trade financing, and established and improved the monitoring and early warning system for the balance of payments. The foreign exchange authorities improved transparency by providing a comprehensive overview of the cross-border capital flow situation, circulated information on punishments for irregular activities in the handling of foreign exchange business by some banks, enterprises, and individuals, further deterred activities in violation of the laws and regulations, and correctly guided expectations. The foreign exchange authorities gave play to cross-departmental synergies, strengthened information sharing and policy coordination, and created a synergy to suppress the inflow of hot money. In general, the adjustment of the foreign exchange administration policy focusing on reducing the surplus played an active role in guarding against the impact of cross-border capital flows and safeguarding the economic and financial security of the country. From the second half of 2011, in particular the fourth quarter, the foreign exchange situation in China exhibited a noteworthy change, and the RMB exchange rate approached an equilibrium level. Due to early insight, the foreign exchange authorities required the banks to increase foreign exchange positions in advance, which not only relieved the pressures on the central bank to purchase foreign exchange for that period and reduced the currency mismatch risks for banks, but also made the process go smoothly such since the fourth quarter of 2011 the banks have proactively increased their positions and have avoided any significant market fluctuations that might have occurred. II. The new situation and the new stage raised the requirements for supervision of cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency In accordance with increasing the level of opening to the outside and facilitating trade and investment, the pilot cross-border RMB trade settlement has continuously expanded and we have already reached a high level of economic opening. Comprehensively affected by such factors as changes in the economic situation both at home and abroad, the transformation of the pattern of economic development in China, and the fact that macro-control policies are gradually in place, China’s cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency displayed new characteristics, raising the requirements for cross-border capital management during the next stage. (1) The balance of payments approaching a basic equilibrium means that balanced management of cross-border capital flows needs to be strengthened. The proportion of the current account surplus to GDP is an important indicator measuring external imbalances. Since the international financial crisis, the situation of China ’s current account surplus has been improving. According to preliminary estimates, in 2011 the proportion of the current account surplus to GDP will be further reduced to around 3 percent, a decrease of 7 percent since its historic high in 2007. The rapid momentum in the increase of China’s foreign exchange reserves has slowed down. At the end of 2011, China ’s foreign exchange reserves totaled about USD 3.2 trillion, an increase of USD 330 billion compared with the end of the previous year, with the increment decreasing by USD 110 billion compared with the same period of the last year. In general, the balance of payments approaching a basic equilibrium is a type of active change that is consistent with the macro-control direction. However, facing the present complicated and volatile economic and financial environments both at home and abroad, there are still uncertainties in the cross-border capital flow situation. This will require that the foreign exchange authorities accelerate the transformation of the concepts and methods of supervising cross-border capital flows in accordance with the requirements for balanced management, control the two gates for inflows and outflows of cross-border capital, comprehensively apply the economic, legal, and necessary administrative means to continuously improve supervision of cross-border capital flows, guard against massive cross-border capital flows, and safeguard the economic and financial security of China. (2) The increase in the level of financial opening-up in China means that the transformation of the supervisory mode for cross-border capital flows needs to be accelerated. Currently, China is a major economy with a high level of opening-up. In 2009, affected by the spread of the international financial crisis, the total scale of the balance of payments dropped to USD 4 trillion, and the scale of such major trade items as trade in goods and direct investments dropped. In 2010, China ’s foreign economic activities recovered to the same level as that before the financial crisis, the total scale of the balance of payments of the year reached USD 5.6 trillion, again a record high. As China ’s foreign economic exchange expands and foreign-related trade and investment become increasingly active, various economic entities will raise their requirements for relaxing the restrictions on cross-border capital flows, making full use of domestic and international markets and resources. In order to adapt to the development of the new situation, while facilitating trade and investment and steadily promoting convertibility under the capital account, the foreign exchange authorities need to accelerate the transformation of the foreign exchange administration mode by integrating the data and system resources and strengthening the monitoring of cross-border capital flows on the basis of the individual economic entities, to formulate pre-arranged policies for coping with the risks of bidirectional flows of cross-border capital; by utilizing the tools for pre-adjustments and fine adjustments, to reduce the pressures of massive cross-border capital flows; while not leaving any supervisory blind spots, to carry out classified management and to improve the effectiveness of the supervision of cross-border capital flows. (3) The expanding scale of RMB cross-border capital flows means that the capability to carry out fully covered monitoring and analysis of the cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency needs to be further improved. In recent years, the confidence of the international market and the demands for RMB have been increasing, resulting in the scale of cross-border RMB capital flows promptly expanding. In 2011, the amount of RMB cross-border settlements exceeded RMB 2 trillion, a fourfold increase compared with the same period of the last year, and the proportion of RMB cross-border trade in cross-border capital flows increased notably. In light of this new situation, the foreign exchange authorities need to keep in mind the long-term interests, improve the system and mechanism for the supervision of cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency, strengthen the monitoring, analysis, and early warning of cross-border RMB capital flows, strengthen information communication and supervisory cooperation between the regulatory departments, and create a new synergy. III. The main ideas of the supervisory framework for cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency during the next stage The establishment and improvement of the supervisory framework for cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency is a long-term process. For the next period, the foreign exchange authorities should focus on grasping well the following important aspects: First, strengthening analysis of the situation and improving the capability for scientific judgments. The foreign exchange authorities should keep a sharp eye on and closely follow changes in the situation in cross-border capital flows of domestic and foreign currency, place high priority on certain emerging and tendentious problems, deeply study the channels and transmission mechanisms that affect cross-border receipts and payments, search for the core indicators that are highly related to the trends in the cross-border capital flows and establish good predictability and make the judgments on cross-border capital flows more scientific and more accurate. Second, strengthening policy reserves and formulating well pre-arranged policies for coping with the risks of bidirectional flows of cross-border capital. The foreign exchange authorities should adhere to balanced management of cross-border capital flows, improve and enrich the pre-arranged policies that guard against massive net inflows of cross-border capital, do a good job in terms of implementing reserves that guard against central outflows of cross-border capital, and make supervisory policies relevant and forward-looking. Third, adhering to balanced management and focusing on guarding against unusual cross-border capital flows. The foreign exchange authorities should implement the concept of balanced management on the basis of promoting the facilitation of trade and investment, actively explore new ideas, new tools, and new mechanisms for supervising cross-border capital flows, comprehensively apply the economic means, legal means, and necessary administrative means, and limit the space for speculation and arbitrage. Furthermore, the foreign exchange authorities should begin by straightening out the relations between foreign exchange supply and demand, accelerate the cultivation and development of the foreign exchange market, improve the market-making mechanism of market-makers, enhance the capability of the foreign exchange market in terms of self-regulation and self-balancing, and give full play to the fundamental role of market mechanisms for the reasonable allocation of foreign exchange resources. Fourth, optimizing the system and mechanisms, and improving the capability to cope with the impact of cross-border capital flows. The foreign exchange authorities should place high priority on the development of the system and mechanisms for supervision of the cross-border capital flows in domestic and foreign currency, and should strengthen supervisory cooperation. The foreign exchange authorities should establish a transmission mechanism for enterprises, banks, and individuals to improve policy effectiveness. The foreign exchange authorities should strengthen guidance of financial institutions, pay attention to giving full play to the role of the designated foreign exchange banks in the conduct of policy, and improve the capability to control the foreign exchange receipts and payments of economic entities. The foreign exchange authorities should make good use of the inspection methods, maintain tough measures against illegal and irregular funds, such as hot money, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities in regulatory areas, such as underground banks, increase efforts to disclose information on illegal and irregular activities, and improve the deterrent effect against illegal and irregular cross-border capital flows. 2012-03-26/en/2012/0326/1040.html