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In recent years, in order to adapt to the new situation and new requirements of China’s opening up, the foreign exchange authorities, in light of the changes in the balance of payments situation, has actively carried out policy adjustments and systemic innovations, with a focus on expanding capital outflow channels, and has introduced a series of policies and measures on foreign exchange administration reform, thus, significantly improving the capital account convertibility level. The convertibility for direct investment is basically realized, and the level of investment facilitation is significantly improved In recent years, the foreign exchange authorities, by deepening the reform, streamlining administration and instituting decentralization, and optimizing processes, have created a favorable policy environment for attracting foreign investors to make direct investments in China, and have effectively supported the “going global” efforts of various types of domestic institutions to participate in international competition and cooperation. In terms of overseas direct investments, since 2006 the foreign exchange authorities have gradually lifted limits on the amount of foreign exchange purchases for overseas investments, and, at present, have realized the “supply of foreign exchange on the basis of needs” for overseas direct investments throughout the country. In 2009, the foreign exchange authorities further deepened the foreign exchange administration reform of overseas investments, changed the two procedures for administrative examination and approval, i.e., that for the examination of the source of the foreign exchange funds for overseas direct investments and that for approval for outward remittances of capital, into the procedure of ex-post registration, expanded the source of foreign exchange funds for overseas direct investments by domestic institutions, and began to allow domestic institutions to remit early stage expenses during the preparatory stage before formal establishment of their overseas projects. After the above reforms, in terms of foreign exchange administration of overseas direct investments, there are no prior approval procedures and convertibility is basically realized, which significantly facilitates enterprise participation in international economic and technological cooperation and competition. In terms of direct investments in China , the main procedures are registration administration and authenticity examination. In recent years, the foreign exchange authorities have defined and regulated foreign exchange administration in such areas as settlement of the foreign exchange capital of foreign-invested enterprises, foreign capital utilization in the real estate industry, and return investments, and have promoted the reasonable and effective utilization of foreign capital. The international investment position statistical data from the foreign exchange authorities indicate that as of the end of September 2011, the asset balance for direct investments in China by foreign investors was USD 1625.6 billion, and the asset balance for overseas direct investments was USD 345.5 billion, an increase by 1.65 times and 2.81 times respectively compared with the end of 2006. The level of convertibility for securities investments has improved significantly, and cross-border securities investments have become active In 2002 and 2006, China introduced the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system and the Qualified Domestic Institutional Investor (QDII) system respectively; the former allows qualified foreign institutional investors to make investments in the domestic securities market, and the latter allows qualified domestic institutions to make investments in overseas securities markets. In 2007, the total QFII investment quota was increased from USD 10 billion to USD 30 billion upon the approval of the State Council. Thereafter, the foreign exchange authorities issued a series of normative documents and further improved foreign exchange administration of cross-border securities investments. As of March 9, 2012, the foreign exchange authorities had approved a total of USD 24.55 billion in investment quotas to 129 QFIIs (excluding the 2 QFIIs whose quotas were cancelled), and a total of USD 75.247 billion in investment quotas to 96 QDIIs. The foreign exchange authorities actively promoted work related to the pilot program of domestic securities investments by RMB Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (RQFII). In December 2011, on the basis of the formulation of the pilot measures related to the RQFII together with the relevant departments, the foreign exchange authorities timely issued supporting provisions on foreign exchange administration and allocated the RQFII investment quota in accordance with such principles as appropriately considering the level of operations and the type of product risks. As of January 2, 2012, the foreign exchange authorities had allocated the first batch of the RQFII investment quota, a total of RMB 20 billion. The steady implementation of the above system has preliminarily established a bidirectional flow mechanism for capital under securities investments, promoted the opening up and development of the domestic capital market, expanded the overseas investment channels for domestic institutions and individuals, and better met the objective requirements of domestic and overseas market players to make cross-border securities investments. Bidirectionally developing the cross-border claim and debt business, steadily promoting the convertibility of other investments In order to increase policy support for subsequent financing of enterprises established overseas, and to support those enterprises that have “gone global” to develop better and faster, in 2009 the foreign exchange authorities began to allow qualified enterprises of various types, upon approval, to use, within a certain limit, their self-owned foreign exchange, foreign exchange purchased with RMB and other permitted foreign exchange to grant overseas loans, and such matters as the opening of special foreign exchange accounts for overseas loans, the domestic transfer of funds, and foreign exchange purchases began to be directly handled by designated foreign exchange banks. In 2009, in order to support post-disaster reconstruction in Sichuan and to support Guangdong to continue to give play a forefront role in the reform, the foreign exchange authorities allowed Chinese-funded enterprises in Sichuan and Guangdong to borrow short-term external debt within a certain limit, and in 2010 promoted this policy nationwide on the basis of a summary of the pilot experience. In 2010, the foreign exchange authorities further simplified the management procedures for external guarantees, cancelled the approval procedures for the banks’ external guarantee performance, relaxed the qualification requirements for the debtor and the restrictions on financial indicators, and expanded the business scope of external guarantees. Implementation of the above policies relieved the problems of overseas investment enterprises, such as financing difficulties and insufficient working capital, and also steadily promoted improvement in the convertibility level of other investments. Streamlining administration and instituting decentralization, and further improving the level of convertibility under the capital account The foreign exchange authorities actively simplified the procedures for administrative examination and approval, and each year introduced multiple measures to simplify the business examination procedures. First, they adjusted the management methods of some businesses from examination on a case-by-case basis to aggregate control. For instance, in 2010 the policy for management of external guarantees was reformed, the previous management method of case-by-case approval was adjusted to annual balance control, and the enterprises may handle the business themselves without the approval of the foreign exchange authorities. Second, they granted more authority to the branches and sub-branches of the SAFE, and integrating the overlapping administrative functions. In recent years, the foreign exchange authorities simplified dozens of business examination procedures, such as those for opening capital accounts in other localities, transferring the property of individuals overseas, and partial market withdrawal under the securities investments, and simplified the materials required for business examinations. Third, some businesses which were originally examined by the foreign exchange authorities were authorized to be handled by the banks. For example, with respect to such businesses as those related to foreign exchange purchases or payments for the profits of foreign investors in some financial institutions with foreign capital participation, the foreign exchange to be used for payment of overseas listing expenses from China by the overseas listed domestic companies, and the record of the transfer of the foreign exchange capital gained through the reduction in state-owned shares in overseas listed companies to the National Social Security Fund are currently directly handled by the banks. These measures help reduce the costs to the enterprises and the burden on society, improve operating efficiency, and also further improve the level of convertibility under the capital account. The foreign exchange authorities will steadily and orderly promote capital account convertibility for the Renminbi in accordance with the relevant requirements of the Twelfth Five-Year Plan and the National Financial Working Conference. On the basis of the specifications, the foreign exchange authorities will expand the use of RMB in cross-border trade and investment. The foreign exchange authorities will gradually expand capital outflow channels, encourage qualified institutions in China to “go global,” and relax the restrictions on overseas investments by domestic residents. The foreign exchange authorities will gradually expand the opening up of the domestic financial market and establish a system and mechanism for guarding against the impact of bidirectional flows of cross-border capital. As an important content of the reform of China ’s foreign exchange administration system, capital account convertibility for the Renminbi is not the ultimate goal. The realization of capital account convertibility for the Renminbi is a gradual process and a systematic project involving many departments, and relevant reforms are required to promote coordination and an improved capability to cope with external impacts. During the process of promoting convertibility under the capital account, the foreign exchange authorities will keep a close eye on economic development at home and abroad and will take measures for promoting convertibility that are consistent with China’s stage of economic development, the level of market development, the tolerance of enterprises, the level of financial supervision, and the international financial environment. While relaxing some controls, the foreign exchange authorities will continuously improve and strengthen macro and prudential supervision, further improve statistics, monitoring, and early warnings of cross-border capital flows, effectively guard against the impact of capital flows, and safeguard the economic and financial security of China . 2012-06-07/en/2012/0607/1055.html
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Question: Please introduce China ’s balance of payments status in the first half of this year. Answer: According to the preliminary statistics, China ’s balance of payments status in the first half of this year continued to improve. First, receipts and payments under the current account more closely approached an equilibrium. In the first half of the year, the current account surplus was USD83.2 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5 percent, and the proportion of the current account surplus to GDP was 2.3 percent, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points compared with that in the last year. Second, cross-border capital flows presented a bi-directional change. In the first half of the year, the deficit in the capital and financial account (including net errors and omissions, the same below) was USD20.3 billion. In the first quarter, as the international market environment recovered, international capital flowed back into China , and in terms of the capital and financial account, there was a surplus of USD51.1 billion compared with the USD48 billion deficit registered in the fourth quarter of 2011. In the second quarter, there was again a net outflow of USD71.4 billion due to the combined influence of domestic and foreign factors. Third, the increase in foreign exchange reserves slowed down. In the first half of the year, the capital account deficit and the current account surplus offset each other, reserve assets calculated on the basis of the balance of payments coverage (excluding the influence of changes in non-trade value, such as the exchange rate and price) only increased by USD62.9 billion, with the growth rate decreasing by 78 percent compared with the same period of the last year; of this foreign exchange reserve assets increased by USD63.6 billion, with the growth rate decreasing by 77 percent compared with the same period of last year. Question: In the first half of the year, there appeared to be a deficit under the capital account of China . Does this mean that a large volume of foreign capital was withdrawn from China ? Answer: In the first half of the year, China indeed experienced an outflow of capital to some extent, but this does not mean that there was a large-scale and collective withdrawal of foreign capital. Theoretically, the current account surplus exceeding the increment of foreign exchange reserves means that the capital of China ’s domestic institutions and individuals presented a situation of a net output (i.e., a capital account deficit in the Balance of Payments Statements) and an increase in net foreign assets. In terms of other statistical data reflecting cross-border receipts and payments of enterprises and individuals and the banks’ foreign exchange credit receipts and payments, the main change in the current foreign exchange situation is that the holder of assets in foreign exchange has shifted from the central bank to domestic institutions and individuals and that foreign exchange is to be held by the people; any sign of a proactive withdrawal of foreign capital is still not obvious. First, in terms of the banks’ data on cross-border receipts and payments on behalf of clients under the capital account, in the first half of the year China’s domestic enterprises and individuals still maintained a net inflow of capital of up to USD77.6 billion. Second, in terms of the banks’ data on foreign exchange settlement and sales on behalf of clients under the current account and capital account, in the first half of the year the surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales by domestic enterprises and individuals was USD29.5 billion, far less than the cross-border receipts and payments surplus of USD79.1 billion. The main reason for the above difference is that under the influence of the market environment, at present domestic enterprises and individuals have shifted from short dollar to long dollar and have begun financial operations whereby they are “incurring liabilities in domestic currency and holding assets in foreign currency.” Third, in terms of bank data on foreign exchange credit receipts and payments, in the first half of the year there was a new increase of USD130.1 billion with respect to various types of foreign exchange deposits with banks; this was used for domestic foreign exchange loans as well as for international loans and external investments. Such uses are reflected in the increase in the banks’ net foreign assets during the same period, and in the balance of payments statements they are recorded as an “outflow” item under the capital account. Fourth, in terms of detailed data on cross-border receipts and payments, cross-border payments in the first half of the year increased by 24 percent compared with the same period of the last year, of which the capital outflows under overseas direct investments in which the Chinese parties have control increased by 74 percent, whereas the capital outflows through the main withdrawal channels for foreign capital, such as the withdrawal of foreign direct investments and securities investments, and remittances of investment earnings of foreign investors and so forth only increased by 15 percent. Question: How should we regard the changes in the current situation of China ’s balance of payments? Answer: The current situation for China ’s balance of payments should be comprehensively recognized on the basis of the following: First, the decrease in the balance of payments surplus and the slowdown in foreign exchange reserve growth conform to China ’s macro-control direction and are beneficial for maintaining China ’s balance of payments equilibrium. Second, against the background of the slow recovery of the global economy and the worsening international financial turmoil, the major new emerging markets are generally experiencing an outflow of capital, a decrease in reserves, and a depreciation of the domestic currency, and it is unavoidable that China ’s cross-border capital flows are affected. Third, after the balance of payments and the RMB exchange rate approach an equilibrium and a reasonable level, the bidirectional fluctuation situation whereby there are inflows and outflows of cross-border capital and increases and decreases in the RMB exchange rate are unavoidable. Fourth, notwithstanding the fact that the trend of a unilateral appreciation of the RMB exchange rate against the US dollar is ending, the RMB continues to become stronger against most currencies, the nominal effective exchange rate and the real effective exchange rate of the RMB published by the Bank for International Settlements for the first half of the year appreciated 1.6 percent and 0.9 percent respectively. Meanwhile, the RMB spot exchange rate differential between home and abroad has narrowed; the dollar premium indicated by the forward exchange rate mainly reflects the interest rate spread between the RMB and foreign currencies rather than any depreciation expectations, and also indicates that the current RMB exchange rate is at reasonable level accepted by domestic and overseas parties and by market clearing. Fifth, China is able to tolerate the impact of cross-border capital flows due to its relatively rapid economic growth, sound financial condition, continuous surplus of trade in goods, abundant foreign exchange reserves, and the fact that foreign capital mainly consists of direct investments with high stability rather than securities investments with high volatility. Question: In the second half of the year, will China be exposed to the risk of a capital flow reversal? Answer: The SAFE still maintains its basic judgment made at the beginning of the year that China ’s balance of payments hopefully will maintain a basic equilibrium this year. Notwithstanding the fact that there are many unstable and uncertain factors at home and abroad in the second half of the year, some positive factors in favor of China ’s balance of payments equilibrium are gradually accumulating. First, a series of recently issued pre-adjustment and fine-adjustment policies will help strengthen market confidence and help maintain steady economic growth. Second, in consideration of the depressed world economy and the fact that the drop in international bulk commodity prices depressed import costs of domestic parties, China ’s trade surplus may further expand in the second half of the year. Third, each of the major economies has placed high priority on the maintenance of economic growth, and the relevant countries and regions have certain resources and a determination to prevent the debt crisis from becoming worse. Overall, as long as there are no major emergencies at home or abroad, China ’s balance of payments hopefully will still achieve a basic equilibrium. Even though capital net outflows will occur, they are tolerable and they conform to policy goal of “foreign exchange to be held by the people,” which has always been advocated by China and remains a part of the scope of the basic equilibrium in the balance of payments. 2012-07-31/en/2012/0731/1063.html
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The SAFE recently released China ’s International Investment Position for year-end 2011 and the revised data for the end of 2009 and 2010. The statistics reveal that at the end of 2011, China’s external financial assets hit USD4718.2 billion, external financial liabilities USD2943.4 billion, and external net financial assets USD1774.7 billion. Among the external financial assets, direct investments abroad came to USD364.2 billion, portfolio investments USD260 billion, other investments USD838.2 billion, and reserve assets USD3255.8 billion, accounting for 8 percent, 6 percent, 18 percent, and 69 percent respectively. In terms of external financial liabilities, foreign direct investments totaled USD1804.2 billion, portfolio investments USD248.5 billion, and other investments USD890.7 billion, accounting for 61 percent, 9 percent, and 30 percent respectively. The International Investment Position (hereinafter referred to as the IIP) is a statistical statement reflecting the stocks of financial assets and liabilities of one country or region to other countries or regions in the world at one specific point; together with the Balance of Payments Statement (BOP Statement) it constitutes the complete international accounts system, indicating the trade flows of the country or region. Compilation Principles and Indexes for the IIP I. Compilation Principles for the IIP In accordance with the standards of the Balance of Payments Manual (Fifth Edition) published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the IIP is a statistical statement which reflects at a specific point the stocks of financial assets and liabilities of one country or region to those of other countries or regions in the world. Changes in the IIP can be caused by changes in transactions, prices, or exchange rates, as well as by other adjustments during the specific period. The IIP is consistent with the BOP statement with regard to the principles of valuation, measurement, and conversion, and together with the BOP Statement constitutes a complete international accounts system of the country or region. China ’s IIP is a statistical statement which reflects at a specific point the stocks of China ’s financial assets and liabilities (excluding that of Hong Kong SAR, Macao SAR, and Taiwan Province ) to other countries or regions in the world. II. Explanation of the Major IIP Indexes According to IMF standards, items on the IIP are categorized according to assets and liabilities. Assets are divided into China ’s direct investments abroad, portfolio investments, other investments, and reserve assets, and liabilities are divided into foreign direct investments, portfolio investments, and other investments. The net position refers to external assets minus external liabilities. The items are specifically defined as follows: 1. Direct investment refers to external investment whereby an investor of one country operates an enterprise located in another country with the aim of acquiring effective control over the enterprise. It consists of direct investment abroad and foreign direct investment. Direct investment abroad includes the stocks of the direct investment abroad conducted by China’s non-financial sectors, the stocks of the capital and working capital allocated by domestic banks to set up branches overseas, as well as the stocks of loans between the parent companies and the subsidiaries both in China and abroad and the stocks of other receivables and payables. Foreign direct investment includes the stocks of foreign direct investment absorbed by China’s non-financial sectors, the stocks of direct investment overseas absorbed by the financial sectors (including foreign investment attracted by branches of foreign financial sectors and Chinese-funded financial sectors, and investments by foreign parties in joint financial sectors), as well as the stocks of loans between the parent companies and the subsidiaries both in China and abroad and the stocks of other receivables and payables. 2. Portfolio investment includes some kinds of investments such as shares, long- and medium-term bonds, and money market instruments. Portfolio investment assets refer to negotiable securities, such as shares, bonds, money-market instruments, and derivative financial instruments, which are held by Chinese residents but issued by non-resident enterprises. Portfolio investment liabilities refer to shares and bonds held by non-resident enterprises but issued by resident enterprises. 2.1 Equity securities mainly comprise those securities in the form of stocks. 2.2 Debt securities include long- and medium-term bonds, short-term (one year or less) bonds, and money-market instruments or transferable debt instruments, such as short-term treasury notes, commercial papers, and large-sum short-term negotiable certificates of deposits. 3. Other investment refers to all financial assets and liabilities, including trade credits, loans, currency, and deposits, as well as other assets and liabilities, but excluding direct investments, portfolio investments, and reserves assets. Long term refers to a contract period for the relevant financial assets/liabilities that is longer than one year, whereas short term refers to a contract period that is one year or less. 3.1 Trade credit refers to the direct business credit arising from the import and export of goods between China and other countries. Assets refer to the receivables of China ’s exporters and the advance payments by China ’s importers, and liabilities refer to the payables of China ’s importers and the advance receipts of China ’s exporters. 3.2 As to loans, assets refer to the external assets held by domestic institutions by providing loans to overseas institutions; and liabilities refer to loans borrowed by domestic institutions, such as loans from foreign governments, loans from international institutions, loans from foreign banks, and sellers’ credits. 3.3 As to currency and deposits, assets refer to the funds deposited abroad and the foreign cash in stock held by China’s financial institutions; and liabilities refer to the overseas private deposits and short-term funds from foreign banks attracted by China’s financial institutions, as well as other short-term funds, for instance loans from foreign exporters and individuals. 3.4 Other assets/liabilities refer to investments other than trade credits, loans, currency, and deposits, for example, non-equity capital paid of international institutions and other receivables and payables. 4. Reserves assets refer to external assets that can be used at any time and are effectively controlled by the PBOC, consisting of monetary gold, special drawing rights (SDRs), the reserves position in the Fund, and foreign exchange. 4.1 Monetary gold refers to the gold held by the PBOC as reserve. 4.2 SDR is a kind of ledger assets, which is allocated by the IMF according to the capital share of its members; it can be used to repay the debt to the IMF and to make up for the deficit in the balance of payments between the governments of member countries. 4.3 Reserves positions in the Fund refer to assets that are in the ordinary accounts of the IMF and that can be used freely. 4.4 Foreign exchange refers to current assets and liabilities that are retained by the PBOC and that can be used as a means of international compensation. 2012-06-07/en/2012/0607/1054.html
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According to statistical data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), in July 2012 the amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD127.5 billion and USD127 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales amounted to USD500 million. During the same period, the total amount involved in contracts for forward settlement of foreign exchange with banks on behalf of clients was USD11.8 billion; the total amount involved in contracts for forward sale of foreign exchange was USD15.2 billion; and net forward exchange sales totaled USD3.4 billion. During the first seven months of 2012, the cumulative amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD872.5 billion and USD842.6 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales was USD30 billion. During the same period, the cumulative amount in contracts for forward settlement of foreign exchange with banks on behalf of clients was USD95.7 billion, the cumulative amount in contracts for forward sale of foreign exchange was USD104.5 billion, and the cumulative net forward sale of foreign exchange with banks on behalf of clients totaled USD8.8 billion. In July 2012 foreign-related receipts and payments of domestic banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD218.4 billion and USD209.6 billion respectively; and the surplus of foreign-related receipts and payments totaled USD8.8 billion. In the first seven months of 2012, the cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments of banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD1443.7 billion and USD1355.8 billion respectively; and the cumulative surplus of foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD88 billion. Addendum: Glossary and relevant definitions The Balance of Payments refers to all economic transactions occurring between residents and non-residents in China , including all financial transactions and barter arrangements resulting in changes in the assets and liabilities of residents and non-residents. Foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks refer to settlement and sales carried out by designated foreign exchange banks either for their clients or for themselves, excluding data on transactions on the inter-bank foreign exchange market. Foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients (including foreign exchange settlement and sales by the banks themselves) refer to settlement and sales by designated foreign exchange banks for clients. The time of conversion between RMB and the foreign currency is regarded as the time-point for the statistics on the foreign exchange settlement and sales by the banks. Specifically, foreign exchange settlement refers to the sale of foreign exchange to designated foreign exchange banks by owners of foreign exchange; foreign exchange sales refer to the sale of foreign exchange by designated foreign exchange banks to the users of foreign exchange. The difference between the foreign exchange settlement and sales is regarded as an offset balance. This difference, which is offset by the banks through transactions on the inter-bank foreign exchange market, is a major factor resulting in changes in the country’s foreign exchange reserves. But it is not equivalent to the net change in foreign exchange reserves during the same period. The principle for transactions between residents and non-residents does not apply to the preparation of statistics on foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients; such statistics only cover RMB and foreign currency transactions between banks and clients, namely, RMB and foreign currency exchange transactions that fall outside the category of the balance-of-payments statistics. Contracts for forward settlement and sales of foreign exchange refer to contracts for forward settlement (sale) of foreign exchange executed between banks and their clients through consultation, during which the foreign currency, amount, exchange rate, and term for the forward settlement (sale) of foreign exchange are agreed upon; where the foreign exchange is to be received (paid), and the foreign exchange settlement (sale) is to be handled on the basis of the amount of foreign currency and the exchange rate specified in such contracts. The forward foreign exchange settlement and sales business enables enterprises to lock into an exchange rate in advance for future foreign exchange settlement or sales and effectively to avoid the risks of changes in the RMB exchange rate. In general, banks will hedge the risk exposure arising from the forward foreign exchange settlement and sales business through the inter-bank foreign exchange market. For example, where the total amount involved in the contracts for forward settlement of foreign exchange executed by banks is more than that in the contracts for forward sales of foreign exchange, the banks generally will sell an equivalent amount of foreign exchange in advance on the inter-bank foreign exchange market, and vice versa. Therefore, the forward settlement and sales of foreign exchange business is also a factor that affects changes in China ’s foreign exchange reserves. Foreign-related receipts and payments by banks on behalf of clients refer to receipts and payments occurring between domestic non-bank resident institutions/individuals (collectively called the non-bank sector) and non-resident institutions/individuals through domestic banks, exclusive of the receipts and payments in cash and foreign-related receipts and payments by the banks themselves. In particular, they include cross-border receipts and payments between non-bank sectors and non-residents through domestic banks (including RMB and foreign exchange), and domestic receipts and payments between non-bank sectors and non-residents through domestic banks (temporarily excluding receipts and payments in RMB between individual domestic residents and individual domestic non-residents). The statistics are collected at the time when the clients carry out the foreign-related receipts and payments at the domestic banks. Specifically, the foreign-related receipts of banks on behalf of clients refer to funds collected by non-bank sectors from non-residents via domestic banks; external payments by banks on behalf of clients refer to funds paid by non-bank sectors to non-residents via domestic banks. Although the foreign-related receipts and payments by banks on behalf of clients are an integral part of the balance-of-payments statistics, the accounting method for the statistics, different from the accrual accounting basis required for the balance-of- payments statistics, is based on a cash basis. In addition, it merely reflects capital flows between the non-bank sectors and non-residents and does not include barter transactions or foreign transactions conducted by the banks themselves. Furthermore, the scope of the statistics on the foreign-related receipts and payments of banks on behalf of clients is smaller than the scope of the balance-of-payments statistics. 2012-08-24/en/2012/0824/1064.html
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According to statistical data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), in May 2012 the amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD135.1 billion and USD129.9 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales amounted to USD5.1 billion. During the same period, the total amount involved with banks in contracts of forward settlement of foreign exchange on behalf of clients was USD15.9 billion, the total amount involved in contracts of forward sales of foreign exchange was USD21.2 billion, and the total amount of net forward exchange sales was USD5.3 billion. During the first five months 2012, the cumulative amount of foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD615.5 billion and USD582.5 billion respectively. The surplus of foreign exchange settlement and sales was USD33 billion. During the same period, the cumulative amount involved in contracts of forward settlement of foreign exchange with banks on behalf of clients was USD73.4 billion, the cumulative amount involved in contracts of forward sales of foreign exchange was USD68 billion, and the cumulative amount of net forward settlement of foreign exchange with banks on behalf of clients was USD5.4 billion. In May 2012 foreign-related receipts and payments of domestic banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD224.9 billion and USD215.8 billion respectively, and the surplus of foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD9.1 billion. During the first five months of 2012, cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments of banks on behalf of clients amounted to USD1002.5 billion and USD929.8 billion respectively; and the surplus of the cumulative foreign-related receipts and payments reached USD72.8 billion. Addendum: Glossary and relevant definitions Balance of payments refers to all economic transactions occurring between residents and non-residents in China , including all financial transactions and barter arrangements resulting in changes in the assets and liabilities of residents and non-residents. Foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks refers to settlement and sales conducted by designated foreign exchange banks for their clients or for themselves, excluding data on transactions on the inter-bank foreign exchange market. Foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients (including foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks themselves) refer to settlement and sales by designated foreign exchange banks on behalf of their clients. The time of conversion between RMB and foreign currency is regarded as the time-point for the statistics on the foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks. Specifically, foreign exchange settlement refers to the sale of foreign exchange to designated foreign exchange banks by owners of foreign exchange; foreign exchange sales refers to the sale of foreign exchange by designated foreign exchange banks to users of foreign exchange. The differences between foreign exchange settlement and sales are regarded as an offset balance. Such differences, which will be offset by the banks through transactions on the inter-bank foreign exchange market, are a major factor resulting in changes in the country’s foreign exchange reserves. But they are not equivalent to the net change in the foreign exchange reserves during the same period. The principle for transactions between residents and non-residents does not apply to the preparation of statistics on foreign exchange settlement and sales by banks on behalf of clients; such statistics only cover RMB and foreign currency between banks and their clients, namely, RMB and foreign currency exchange transactions that fall outside the category of the balance-of-payments statistics. Contracts for forward settlement and sales of foreign exchange refer to contracts for the forward settlement (sale) of foreign exchange executed between banks and their clients through consultation, in which the foreign currency, amount, exchange rate, and term for the forward settlement (sale) of foreign exchange are agreed upon; where the foreign exchange is to be received (paid), the foreign exchange settlement (sale) is to be handled on the basis of the amount of foreign currency and the exchange rate specified in such contracts. The forward foreign exchange settlement and sales business enables enterprises to lock into the exchange rate in advance for future foreign exchange settlement or sales and to effectively avoid the risk of RMB exchange rate changes. Generally, banks will hedge the risk exposure arising from the forward foreign exchange settlement and sales business through the inter-bank foreign exchange market. For example, where the total amount involved in the contracts for forward settlement of foreign exchange executed by banks is more than that in the contracts for forward sales of foreign exchange, generally the banks will sell an equivalent amount of foreign exchange in advance on the inter-bank foreign exchange market, and vice versa. Therefore, the forward settlement and sales of foreign exchange business is a factor that affects changes in the foreign exchange reserves in China . Foreign-related receipts and payments by banks on behalf of their clients refer to receipts and payments occurring between domestic non-bank resident institutions/individuals (collectively called the “non-bank sector”) and non-resident institutions/individuals through domestic banks, which are exclusive of the receipts and payments in cash and foreign-related receipts and payments by the banks themselves. In particular, they refer to cross-border receipts and payments between non-bank sectors and non-residents through domestic banks (including RMB and foreign exchange), and domestic receipts and payments between non-bank sectors and non-residents through domestic banks (temporarily excluding receipts and payments in RMB between domestic individual residents and domestic non-resident individuals). Statistics are collected at the time when the clients carry out the foreign-related receipts and payments at the domestic banks. Specifically, foreign-related receipts of banks on behalf of clients refer to funds collected by non-bank sectors from non-residents via domestic banks; external payments by banks on behalf of clients refer to funds paid by non-bank sectors to non-residents through domestic banks. Although the foreign-related receipts and payments of banks on behalf of clients are an integral part of the balance-of-payments statistics, the accounting method for the statistics, different from the accrual basis of accounting required for the balance-of- payments statistics, is based on a cash basis. In addition, they merely reflect capital flows between the non-bank sectors and non-residents and do not include barter transactions or foreign exchange transactions conducted by the banks themselves. Furthermore, the scope of the statistics on foreign-related receipts and payments of banks on behalf of clients is smaller than the scope of the balance-of-payments statistics. 2012-07-13/en/2012/0713/1060.html
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The SAFE recently released the preliminary data on China 's Balance of Payments Statement for Q2 and H1 of 2012. In Q2 of 2012, the surplus under the current account totaled USD59.7 billion. Specifically, the surpluses in goods and current transfers reached USD91.3 billion and USD1 billion respectively, whereas the deficits in trade in services and income amounted to USD18.7 billion and USD13.9 billion respectively. Meanwhile, China ’s deficit under the capital and financial account (including net errors and omissions) totaled USD71.4 billion. In particular, net inflows of direct investments amounted to USD38.6 billion. International reserve assets (exclusive of the influence of non-transaction changes in value such as exchange rates and prices) registered a drop of USD11.8 billion. Specifically, transactions in foreign exchange reserve assets registered a drop of USD11.2 billion, the reserve position in the IMF registered a drop of USD400 million, and special drawing rights registered a drop of USD100 million. In H1 of 2012, the surplus under the current account was USD83.2 billion and the deficit under the capital and financial account (including net errors and omissions) was USD20.3 billion whereas international reserves registered a rise of USD62.9 billion. Balance of Payments1 (Preliminary Data) Unit: USD100 million Item 2 # Q2 of 2012 H1 of 20123 I. Current Account 1 597 832 A. Goods and Services 2 726 764 a. Goods 3 913 1132 Credit 4 5262 9574 Debit 5 4349 8443 b. Services 6 -187 -368 Credit 7 470 906 Debit 8 657 1274 1. Transportation 9 -114 -229 Credit 10 100 184 Debit 11 214 414 2. Travel 12 -89 -185 Credit 13 127 240 Debit 14 215 425 3. Communication Services 15 1 3 Credit 16 4 9 Debit 17 3 6 4. Construction Services 18 19 46 Credit 19 26 61 Debit 20 8 15 5. Insurance Services 21 -42 -84 Credit 22 9 17 Debit 23 51 100 6. Financial Services 24 -1 -1 Credit 25 2 5 Debit 26 3 6 7. Computer and Information Services 27 26 53 Credit 28 35 69 Debit 29 9 16 8. Royalties and Licensing Fees 30 -45 -85 Credit 31 2 4 Debit 32 47 89 9. Consulting Services 33 31 66 Credit 34 79 157 Debit 35 48 91 10. Advertising and Public Opinion Polling 36 3 9 Credit 37 11 23 Debit 38 8 14 11. Audio-visual and Related Services 39 -1 -2 Credit 40 0 1 Debit 41 1 2 12. Other Business Services 42 25 42 Credit 43 72 134 Debit 44 48 92 13. Government Services, n.i.e. 45 0 -1 Credit 46 2 4 Debit 47 2 5 B. Income 48 -139 33 C. Current Transfers 49 10 35 II. Capital and Financial Account 4 50 -714 -203 Of which, Direct Investments 51 386 875 III. Reserves Assets 52 118 -629 3.1 Monetary Gold 53 0 0 3.2 Special Drawing Rights 54 1 -1 3.3 Reserves Position in the Fund 55 4 8 3.4 Foreign Exchange 56 112 -636 3.5 Other Claims 57 0 0 Note: 1. This statement employs rounded-off numbers. 2. “Other items” refer to the differences, except for those marked as "Credit" or "Debit." 3. The preliminary data in this statement for H1 of 2012 are the sum total of the formal data for Q1 of 2012 and the preliminary data for Q2 of 2012. 4. The data under the capital and financial account in this statement are the balance between the current account balance and the amount of change in reserve assets, including net errors and omissions. 2012-07-31/en/2012/0731/1062.html
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The SAFE recently released the formal data on China 's Balance of Payments Statement for the first quarter of 2012. In Q1 of 2012 the current account and the capital and financial account posted a “twin surplus” and international reserves maintained a growing momentum. In Q1 of 2012, the surplus under the current account reached USD23.5 billion. Specifically, according to the statistical coverage of the balance of payments, the surpluses in goods, income, and current transfers reached USD21.9 billion, USD17.3 billion, and USD2.5 billion, respectively, whereas the deficit in trade in services amounted to USD18.1 billion. Meanwhile, China 's surplus under the capital and financial account totaled USD56.1 billion in the first quarter of this year. In particular, net inflows of direct investments and portfolio investments amounted to USD48.9 billion and USD 9.3 billion respectively and outflows of other investments reached USD3.5 billion. China ’s international reserve assets from transactions increased by USD74.6 billion. Specifically, foreign exchange reserve assets registered an increase of USD74.8 billion (exclusive of the influence of factors due to non-transaction changes in value, such as exchange rates, prices, etc.), the reserve position in the IMF registered a decrease of USD400 million, and special drawing rights registered an increase of USD200 million. 2012-07-13/en/2012/0713/1059.html
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In order to improve the transparency of the release of foreign exchange administration data and further facilitate the public's access to and use of the balance of payments and the relevant data, the Schedule for the Release of the Balance of Payments and Relevant Data (see the Annex) is hereby published. FILE: Schedule for the Release of the Balance of Payments and Rele 2012-07-13/en/2012/0713/1056.html
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Recently, in order to improve the transparency of the balance of payments statistical data, the SAFE prepared and published China’s Quarterly Balance of Payments Statements from 1998 to 2009 (see Annex I) prepared on the basis of the historical data, and simultaneously published the Annual Balance of Payments Statements from 1998 to 2009 (see Annex II) prepared on the basis of the quarterly accumulated data on a yearly basis. The data in the Quarterly Balance of Payments Statements published at this time strictly follow the requirements of the International Monetary Fund’s Balance of Payments Manual, Fifth Edition, and the data on such items as reserve assets, relevant profits from foreign direct investment in China, and foreign aid from government departments have been adjusted, further extending the length of the Balance of Payments Quarterly Time Series Data. Thus, China ’s Balance of Payments Statements include annual time series data from 1982 and quarterly time series data from 1998. For the complete time series data, see the column “Statistical Data.” 2012-07-30/en/2012/0730/1061.html
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Editor’s note: The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) recently conscientiously studied and implemented the spirit of the National Financial Work Conference, comprehensively summarized the practice of reform and development of foreign exchange administration during the past five years, and set forth the tasks for foreign exchange administration during the next period. During the last five years, the SAFE, under the strong leadership of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council, adhered to the theme of scientific development, the main line of accelerating the transformation of the pattern of economic development, and the essential financial requirements serving the real economy, closely focusing on the central task of promoting a basic equilibrium in the balance of payments, unswervingly carrying forward the reform of the foreign exchange administration system, energetically promoting the facilitation of trade and investment, sticking to the risk limits, establishing a system and mechanism for protection against the risks of cross-border capital flows, successfully dealing with the impact of the international financial crisis, effectively guarding against economic and financial risks, and effectively promoting the steady and rapid development of the national economy. In order to better implement the spirit of the National Financial Work Conference and to facilitate learning among various social circles about the progress in the reform and development of foreign exchange administrations, we will provide a detailed description of relevant information related to several special topics. Special Topic I An Interview with a Relevant Official of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Issues Concerning the Balance-of-Payments Situation Question 1: One of the current main targets of macro-control in China is to promote a basic equilibrium in the balance of payments. How much progress has been achieved in reaching this target? Answer: The CPC Central Committee and the State Council place high priority on the development of an internal and external equilibrium in the economy, treat the promotion of an equilibrium in the balance of payments as an important task to maintain macro-economic stabilization, and is actively “expanding domestic demand, adjusting the structure, reducing the surplus, and promoting a balance of payments.” In recent years, this work has gradually achieved results, and the balance of payments is approaching a basic equilibrium. In 2007, the proportion of the surplus in China ’s current account to GDP reached a historic high of 10.1 percent; in 2008, the proportion fell to about 9 percent; and in 2009 and 2010, the proportion fell to about 5 percent. In 2011 the proportion of China ’s current account surplus to GDP is expected to be about 3 percent, which is well within the internationally accepted reasonable range. Question 2: What is the main reason for the continuous improvement in China ’s balance-of-payments situation? Answer: There are internal reasons as well as external reasons, structural factors as well as cyclical factors, and the effect of the market as well as the influence of policy. First, accelerating the transformation of the pattern of economic development and adjusting the economic structure to substantially promote an improvement in the balance-of-payments situation. In recent years, the harmony and endogeneity of China ’s economic development have been further improved, and the growth of three major demands, investment, consumption, and exports, has become more balanced. In 2011, the contribution rate of domestic demand to China ’s economic growth was 106 percent, of which the contribution rate of final consumption increased from 37 percent in 2010 to 52 percent in 2011. Second, accelerating policy adjustments for the foreign economy, gradually eliminating the structural and institutional obstacles that affect the balance of payments equilibrium. In terms of trade policy, China has given full play to the role of imports in the macro-economic equilibrium and structural adjustment. Beginning from 2008, the import growth rate has exceeded the export growth rate. In 2011 the trade surplus decreased by 48 percent compared with 2008. In terms of foreign investment policy, China continuously accelerated implementation of the development strategy of “Going Out.” During the Eleventh Five-Year Plan period, the annual net outflow of China ’s overseas direct investments has been USD 39.1 billion, 8.7 times the figure during the Tenth Five-Year Plan period. In terms of foreign exchange administration policy, on the one hand, China strengthened monitoring of cross-border capital flows and intensified efforts to crack down on hot money inflows; on the other hand, China actively promoted facilitation of trade and investment and encouraged institutions and individuals to hold and use foreign exchange. Third, changes and developments in international economic and financial situations promoted an improvement in China ’s balance-of-payments situation. Beginning from 2008, world economic growth has been slowing down, the international financial turmoil has been becoming worse, and there has been a continuous trend of global deleveraging. On the one hand, this placed constraints on the growth of foreign demand and resulted in the narrowing of the surplus of trade in goods; on the other hand, this stimulated periodic outflows of arbitrage capital from China and intensified fluctuations in cross-border capital flows. Question 3: Specifically, in terms of promoting a basic equilibrium in the balance of payments, what measures are being taken by the foreign exchange authorities? Answer: In recent years, the foreign exchange authorities have been treating scientific development as the theme, and the acceleration of the transformation in the pattern of economic development as the main line, and have actively cooperated with the macro-control by the state and have taken measures in different areas to control inflows, promote outflows, reduce the surplus, and promote the balance of payments. First, strengthening the monitoring and early warning system for the bidirectional flow of cross-border capital and the balanced management of outflows and inflows of cross-border capital; second, continuously enriching the tools for managing cross-border capital flows, improving the emergency response plan, and effectively guarding against the risks of massive cross-border capital flows; third, intensifying management of unusual capital inflows, emphasizing priorities, and rigorously cracking down on illegal and irregular capital inflows; fourth, promoting reform in key areas and key links of foreign exchange administration, expanding the channel for the utilization of foreign exchange funds, developing the foreign exchange market, and continuously improving the market mechanism and management system for the adjustment of the balance of payments. The above measures have achieved initial results. In 2011 the cross-border receipt and payment surplus and the foreign exchange settlement and sales surplus of the non-bank sector decreased by 9 percent and 8 percent respectively from the last year, and the increment in foreign exchange reserves (setting aside the changes in the exchange rate and asset prices) decreased 18 percent; a unilateral appreciation of the RMB was expected to fail, and there was an initial bidirectional fluctuating pattern in the RMB exchange rate. Question 4: In 2012, how will China ’s balance-of-payments situation develop and change? Answer: At the end of 2011, under the combined influence of domestic and foreign factors, market and policy factors, as well as other factors, fluctuations in China ’s cross-border capital flows intensified and pressures of capital outflows suddenly increased. It is expected that in 2012 China’s balance of payments will still maintain a surplus; however, the surplus will decrease amidst more fluctuations, and the balance of payments will further approach an equilibrium. The main reasons are as follows: First, due to the effects of the European sovereign debt crisis, the recovery of the world economy is very slow, and this will adversely affect China’s export growth; however, China’s structural problem whereby there are more savings than investments will be difficult to resolve in the short term; therefore, China’s current account, including trade in goods, will hopefully continue to maintain a surplus. Second, China accelerated the transformation of the pattern of economic development and actively implemented policies and measures to enlarge domestic consumption demand and promote imports; foreign trade development has become more balanced, and the receipts and payments under the current account are further approaching an equilibrium. Third, external impacts will not change the long-term trend whereby China ’s economy will maintain steady and rapid development, and international capital, in particular long-term capital, will continue to flow into China . Fourth, it will be difficult to resolve the structural problems of the developed countries in the short term, various contradictions will be intertwined with one another, and international economic and financial turmoil will continue; therefore, China may face the risk of frequent flows of cross-border capital, even periodic outflows of arbitrage capital. Question 5: In terms of promoting a basic equilibrium in the balance of payments, what measures will be taken by China in the future? Answer: Despite the fact that at the end of 2011, China ’s foreign exchange reserve growth had slowed down with the emergence of the pressure of capital outflows, the increment for the whole year was still significant. Furthermore, many fundamental factors that resulted in the balance of payments surplus have still not changed, and the external environment will continue to be subject to uncertainties; therefore, efforts to promote a basic equilibrium in the balance of payments cannot be reduced. The Twelfth Five-Year Plan has already established that one of the main targets of economic and social development for the next five years will be that “the balance of payments will approach a basic equilibrium.” From a macro perspective, through structural adjustments China will further enlarge domestic demand, in particular consumption demand, transform the economic growth mode from one mainly depending on investment and exports to one that is driven by consumption, investments, and exports; China will promote more balanced foreign trade, accelerate implementation of the “Going Out” strategy, and take various measures to promote a basic equilibrium in the balance of payments. Meanwhile, the foreign exchange authorities will further strengthen monitoring of unusual cross-border capital flows, establish a system and mechanism for guarding against the impact of bidirectional flows of cross-border capital, deepen the reform in key areas, steadily promote convertibility under the capital account, and cultivate and develop the foreign exchange market. 2012-03-26/en/2012/0326/1037.html